��������Ƶ

SINGAPORE: Oil prices extended gains for a third session on Monday, with Brent rising above $80 a barrel to its highest in more than four months, as wider US sanctions are expected to affect Russian crude exports to top buyers China and India.

Brent crude futures climbed $1.14, or 1.43 percent, to $80.90 a barrel by 10:41 a.m. Saudi time after hitting an intraday high of $81.49, the highest since Aug. 27.

US West Texas Intermediate crude rose $1.20, or 1.57 percent to $77.77 a barrel after touching a high of $78.39, the most since Oct. 8.

Brent and WTI have risen by more than 6 percent since Jan. 8, and both contracts surged after the US Treasury imposed wider sanctions on Russian oil on Friday.

The new sanctions included producers Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas, as well as 183 vessels that have shipped Russian oil, targeting the revenue Moscow has used to fund its war with Ukraine.

Russian oil exports will be hurt severely by the new sanctions, pushing China and India, the world’s top and third-largest oil importers respectively, to source more crude from the Middle East, Africa and the Americas, which will boost prices and shipping costs, traders and analysts said.

“Friday’s announcement strengthens our view that the risks to our $70-85 Brent range forecast are skewed to the upside in the short term,” Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note.

“We estimate that the vessels targeted by the new sanctions transported 1.7mb/d of oil in 2024 or 25 percent of Russia’s exports, with the vast majority being crude oil.”

Expectations of tighter supplies have also pushed Brent and WTI monthly spreads to their widest backwardation since the third quarter of 2024. Prompt prices are higher than those in future months in backwardation, indicating tight supply.

RBC Capital Markets analysts said the doubling of tankers sanctioned for moving Russian barrels could serve as a major logistical headwind to crude flows.

Many of the tankers named in the latest sanctions have been used to ship oil to India and China as previous Western sanctions and a price cap imposed by the Group of Seven countries in 2022 shifted trade in Russian oil from Europe to Asia. Some of the ships have also moved oil from Iran, which is also under sanctions.

“The last round of OFAC (US Office of Foreign Assets Control) sanctions targeting Russian oil companies and a very large number of tankers will be consequential in particular for India,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

JPMorgan analysts said Russia had some room to maneuver despite the new sanctions, but it would ultimately need to acquire non-sanctioned tankers or offer crude at or below $60 a barrel to use Western insurance as per the West’s price cap.
 

RIYADH: ��������Ƶ led the Gulf Cooperation Council’s initial public offerings market in 2024, earning a global ranking of seventh in total IPO proceeds, according to the latest report from Kamco Invest. 

The Kingdom accounted for 42 of the 53 IPOs in the GCC last year, significantly outpacing its regional peers and aligning with expectations to maintain its leadership in the coming year.

The surge in listings highlights ��������Ƶ’s dominant position in the regional capital markets and its role as a key driver of IPO activity across the GCC. 

The figure represents a sharp increase from 46 IPOs across the GCC in 2023, underscoring continued investor interest and market dynamism. 

GCC issuers collectively raised $12.9 billion in 2024, a 19.8 percent increase from $10.8 billion in 2023, despite global IPO markets experiencing their weakest performance since 2009. 

Within the GCC, Saudi companies contributed $4.1 billion, amounting to 31.6 percent of total regional proceeds. 

While the UAE led in terms of proceeds with $6.2 billion, its share of GCC IPO proceeds dropped from 56.3 percent in 2023 to 47.8 percent in 2024. 

Oman ranked third, with state-backed privatizations raising $2.5 billion, or 19.3 percent of total GCC proceeds. 

The majority of Saudi IPOs occurred on the Nomu–Parallel Market, which hosted 28 of the Kingdom’s listings. 

The main market recorded 14 IPOs, including standout listings such as Dr. Soliman Abdel Kader Fakeeh Hospital, which was oversubscribed 119 times and garnered orders worth $91 billion.

Other notable listings included Almoosa Health, Miahona Utilities, and Nice One Beauty Digital Marketing. 

The strong demand was driven by a local investor base and underscored the resilience of Saudi capital markets despite challenges such as declining oil prices and geopolitical tensions. 

The report said that sectors such as health care, materials, and professional services were among the most active in Saudi IPOs, reflecting strong fundamentals and investor confidence in these industries. 

Globally, the GCC ranked fourth in IPO proceeds, trailing China, the US, and Japan, demonstrating its growing importance as a financial hub. 

Looking ahead to 2025, ��������Ƶ is expected to further dominate, with 31 IPOs in the pipeline, according to Kuwait-based asset management company Kamco Invest. 

The Kingdom’s Public Investment Fund is set to play a pivotal role with upcoming listings of Saudi Global Ports, Nupco, and Tabreed District Cooling, among others. Several private companies, including flynas, Tabby, and Ejada Systems, are also preparing IPOs. 

Oman plans to privatize up to 30 assets in the coming years, with Asyad Group and Oman Electricity Transmission Co. expected to go public in 2025. 

In the UAE, major listings are anticipated from hotel operator FIVE and real estate companies under Dubai Holding, alongside Dubizzle Group and Alpha Data. 

Despite external headwinds like geopolitical tensions and rising economic pressures, the GCC IPO market has proven resilient, with a robust pipeline of offerings across various sectors.