Ƶ

Fitch revises Oman’s outlook to positive, downgrades Egypt’s economic outlook

Fitch revises Oman’s outlook to positive, downgrades Egypt’s economic outlook
Oman’s positive outlook reflects greater confidence in the resilience of public finances, says Fitch. Shutterstock
Short Url
Updated 19 December 2024

Fitch revises Oman’s outlook to positive, downgrades Egypt’s economic outlook

Fitch revises Oman’s outlook to positive, downgrades Egypt’s economic outlook

RIYADH: Fitch Ratings has revised Oman’s long-term foreign currency issuer default ratings to positive from stable and affirmed the IDR at BB+, driven by the availability of fiscal tools to combat future shocks. 

According to its latest report, the US-based credit rating agency said that the Gulf country’s ratings were supported by higher gross domestic product per capita, the positive impact of recent budget reforms and decreasing government debt per GDP. 

While Fitch maintains a positive outlook on Oman, its IDR remains lower than that of its regional neighbors, including Ƶ and the UAE. In February, Fitch affirmed the Kingdom’s IDR at A+ with a stable outlook, while the UAE received an AA- rating.

According to the rating agency, a BB rating indicates an elevated vulnerability to default risk, particularly in the event of adverse changes in business or economic conditions over time. However, it also suggests that the company or entity has some financial flexibility to meet its obligations despite the increased risk.

“High dependence on oil revenue, modest financial buffers given high exposure to volatile hydrocarbon prices, and Oman’s net external debtor position weigh on the ratings,” said Fitch. 

Ƶ’s A+ rating indicates the Kingdom’s strong capacity to pay financial commitments and signifies low default risk. 

The analysis added that Oman’s positive outlook also reflects greater confidence in the resilience of public finances and the availability of more fiscal tools to respond to shocks than in the past.

The US-based agency said the Gulf country’s overall GDP is expected to expand by 1.8 percent in 2024, driven by the growth of the non-oil economy. 

“We project overall GDP growth of 1.8 percent in 2024, after 1.2 percent in 2023, supported by non-oil growth of 3.7 percent, while hydrocarbon GDP was hindered by OPEC+ quotas. Domestic consumption, robust foreign investment and tourism will maintain non-oil growth above 3 percent in 2025 and 2026,” added Fitch. 

The analysis added that Oman’s budget surplus is expected to narrow to 0.7 percent of GDP in 2025 and to turn into a minor deficit of 0.2 percent in 2026, assuming that the average price of Brent oil will reach $70 per barrel next year, and $65 per barrel in 2026. 

In November, Moody’s also upgraded Ƶ’s long-term local and foreign currency issuer and senior unsecured ratings to Aa3 from A1. 

Moody’s gives Aa3 ratings to countries with very low credit risk and the best ability to repay short-term debt. 

Fitch downgrades Egypt’s economic growth prospects

In a separate report, Fitch Ratings downgraded Egypt’s economic growth outlook to 3.7 percent for the fiscal year 2024/2025, down from a previous projection of 4.2 percent, driven by disruptions in the Suez Canal. 

The US-based agency added that Egypt’s economy is expected to accelerate to 5.1 percent in 2025/26, up from its previous forecast of 4.7 percent. 

Fitch said that this expected economic growth is driven by the possible normalization of Red Sea navigation and a stronger performance of the services sector due to easing geopolitical risks.

In November, speaking at the Rome MED-Mediterranean Dialogues conference, Egypt’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Badr Abdelatty said that the country had incurred losses amounting to $8 billion due to a significant drop in the Suez Canal revenues. 

The analysis added that the country’s economy is recovering; however, the pace is slower than previously projected. 

In October, the International Monetary Fund said that Egypt’s economy is set to expand by 2.7 percent in the current fiscal year before accelerating to 4.1 percent next year. 

Earlier this month, another report by Fitch Ratings said that general business and operating conditions for financial institutions in Egypt are expected to improve next year. 

In that report, Fitch said that improved investor confidence and healthy foreign currency liquidity conditions are some of the major factors that could strengthen the banking sector in Egypt in 2025. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 11,892

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 11,892
Updated 25 December 2024

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 11,892

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 11,892
  • Parallel market Nomu gained 86.66 points, or 0.28%, to close at 31,007.06
  • MSCI Tadawul Index lost 3.16 points, or 0.21%, to close at 1,493.74

RIYADH: Ƶ’s Tadawul All Share Index slipped on Wednesday, losing 21.63 points, or 0.18 percent, to close at 11,892.32.

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR2.79 billion ($746 million), as 132 of the stocks advanced and 86 retreated. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 86.66 points, or 0.28 percent, to close at 31,007.06. This comes as 49 of the listed stocks advanced, while 29 retreated. 

The MSCI Tadawul Index lost 3.16 points, or 0.21 percent, to close at 1,493.74. 

The best-performing stock of the day was Al-Baha Investment and Development Co., whose share price surged 8.33 percent to SR0.52. 

Other top performers included Red Sea International Co., whose share price rose 6.32 percent to SR60.60 and Saudi Industrial Development Co., whose share price surged 5.07 percent to SR30.05.

MBC Group Co. recorded the biggest drop, falling 3.31 percent to SR52.50.

Bawan Co. also saw its stock prices fall 3.05 percent to SR54.10.

Savola Group saw its stock prices drop 2.97 percent to SR35.90.

On the announcements front, Ƶn Mining Co., also known as Ma’aden, has announced ‎acquiring a full stake of Mosaic Phosphate in Waad Al-Shamal Phosphate Co. 

According to a Tadawul statement, the financial impact of the acquisition will be reflected in the company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ending Dec.31.

Ma’aden ended the session at SR49.20, up 0.61 percent.

Kingdom Holding Co. has announced the acquisition of an additional stake in xAI, with a total investment of SR 1.5 billion, as part of xAI’s Series C funding round. 

A bourse filing revealed that the transaction comes after KHC’s previous investment of the same amount in xAI during its Series B funding round. 

The move falls in line with KHC’s strategic collaboration with Elon Musk, and also follows its strategic stake in X, formerly known as Twitter, held since 2015. xAI is an artificial intelligence firm established by Elon Musk and a team of top-notch engineers to build AI to further accelerate human scientific discovery as a whole.

KHC ended the session at SR9.35, up 0.88 percent.

Bank Al-Jazira has announced its intention to issue Additional Tier 1 Sukuk under its SR 5 billion Additional Tier 1 Capital Sukuk Issuance Program by way of private placement in Ƶ. 

According to a Tadawul statement, the bank has mandated Al-Jazira Capital, Al-Rajhi Capital and HSBC Ƶ as joint lead managers and dealers for the potential offer. The filing further revealed that the purpose of the offer is to bolster the capital base of the bank, thereby backing its financial and strategic needs.

Bank Al-Jazira ended the session at SR18.64, up 0.21 percent.

Methanol Chemicals Co. has announced the approval of the Ministry of Energy’s request to renew the allocation of the required feedstock to produce several specialized petrochemical products. 

A bourse filing revealed that this follows the company’s Industrial Plot Allocation Agreement with Jubail and Yanbu Industrial Cities Services Co. in the PlasChem Park in Jubail (2) to establish and operate a Choline Chloride and Methyl Diethanolamine Methane plant.

Methanol Chemicals Co. ended the session at SR18.70, down 0.32 percent.

View United Real Estate Development Co. has signed a memorandum of understanding with Watheeq Capital to establish real estate funds to enhance investment opportunities.

According to a Tadawul statement, it will be valid from the date of its signature for one year, and will not be automatically renewed except by a written agreement signed between the two parties.

View United Real Estate Development Co. ended the session at SR68.50, down 0.70 percent.


MODON inks $453m in private sector deals to expand Saudi industrial cities

MODON inks $453m in private sector deals to expand Saudi industrial cities
Updated 25 December 2024

MODON inks $453m in private sector deals to expand Saudi industrial cities

MODON inks $453m in private sector deals to expand Saudi industrial cities

JEDDAH: Saudi industrial cities are set for further growth as the sector's authority revealed it has signed 23 development contracts with the private sector, valued at over SR1.7 billion ($453 million). 

The agreements, announced by the Saudi Authority for Industrial Cities and Technology Zones, or MODON, encompass a wide range of projects aimed at boosting industrial capabilities.  

These include the expansion of industrial cities, the construction of ready-made factories, the enhancement of MODON’s safety and security systems, and initiatives aligned with the National Industry Strategy.  

Additionally, the projects will address water and irrigation needs, improve water treatment facilities, upgrade electricity services, and expand road networks. 

MODON’s latest contracts highlight the growing role of the private sector in supporting Ƶ’s ambitious Vision 2030 goals, which emphasize economic diversification, local production, and the creation of an attractive environment for both domestic and foreign investment.  

The projects are expected to enhance the competitiveness of Saudi industrial cities, foster greater investment, and improve operational efficiency for businesses. 

The agreements will also contribute to regional development, improve environmental sustainability, and promote vegetation growth, MODON stated in a post on its X account. 

The development of these projects is in line with Ƶ’s broader efforts to build a dynamic and innovative economy. 

This move follows a previous round of agreements in July, when MODON signed nine contracts valued at SR1 billion to enhance infrastructure and service facilities across various industrial hubs. Key initiatives from that round included the development of infrastructure in Makkah’s and Jeddah’s industrial cities and the installation of 132-kilovolt overhead power lines in Tabuk’s industrial city. 

Looking ahead, MODON plans further expansion with projects that will improve electrical services, such as the construction of 115-kV overhead power lines in Hafr Al-Batin’s industrial city. The authority is also focusing on enhancing infrastructure networks for the first and second phases of Dammam’s Third Industrial City. 

Since its establishment in 2001, MODON has overseen the development of 36 industrial cities and is responsible for managing both operational and under-construction industrial lands across the Kingdom.  

In the first quarter of 2024, MODON attracted SR3.4 billion in private sector investments, signed 142 new industrial contracts, and registered a total of 6,758 factories. 

As part of its commitment to sustainable growth, MODON also planted over 576,000 trees and finalized 335 logistics contracts, underscoring its broader environmental and economic development objectives.


2.25m freelancers in Ƶ join national economy

2.25m freelancers in Ƶ join national economy
Updated 25 December 2024

2.25m freelancers in Ƶ join national economy

2.25m freelancers in Ƶ join national economy
  • The 25— 34 age group is particularly active in freelancing
  • 62% of freelancers hold bachelor’s degrees

JEDDAH: Freelancing is emerging as a key contributor to Ƶ’s economy, with over 2.25 million individuals registered on the freelance platform by September.

This growth reflects the rising popularity of flexible work, supported by the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development’s launch of the “Future Work” company in 2019 to enhance the freelancing ecosystem by promoting modern workstyles, including remote work and flexible-hour freelancing.

The company’s mission is to create more job opportunities, empower Saudi talent, and develop a labor market that complements traditional employment while aligning with global trends, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

Freelancers make a notable contribution to Ƶ’s economy. In 2023, the sector contributed SR72.5 billion ($19 billion) to the gross domestic product, representing 2 percent of the Kingdom’s total output. This highlights its role in diversifying income sources and strengthening the national economy.

The initiative, along with other efforts, has contributed to reducing the Kingdom’s unemployment rates. Ƶ has revised its unemployment target to 5 percent by 2030, down from the previous goal of 7 percent, as part of Vision 2030’s ambitions.

The progress was highlighted by Minister of Human Resources and Social Development Ahmed Al-Rajhi during a panel discussion at the Budget Forum 2024 in November, where he detailed the Kingdom’s strides in improving employment figures. Al-Rajhi said that the unemployment rate among Saudis was 12.8 percent in 2018, and it has recently dropped to 7.1 percent.

The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development issues freelance certificates to individuals specializing in specific fields, enabling them to work independently in activities approved by the ministry through the official freelance portal.

A recent report from Future Work highlights the sector’s rapid development and its alignment with Vision 2030. The report also emphasizes the diverse nature of freelance activities, with trade and retail leading at 38 percent, followed by industry at 13 percent and business services at 11 percent. The diversity demonstrates the sector’s adaptability to meet various economic needs.

Freelancing accommodates individuals with different educational backgrounds. According to the report, 62 percent of freelancers hold bachelor’s degrees, while 31 percent have high school diplomas or less, and 7 percent possess higher degrees.

Technology plays a pivotal role in the sector’s growth, with digital platforms becoming indispensable for freelancers, especially in fields like technology, information, and finance. These tools enhance productivity and connectivity, fostering sustainability and success in freelance careers.

Geographically, the Riyadh region accounts for the largest share of freelancers at 27 percent, followed by Makkah at 22 percent, and the Eastern Province at 14 percent.

The 25— 34 age group is particularly active in freelancing, reflecting the younger generation’s growing interest in this flexible career path.

The report said that 3.2 million women have expressed interest in joining the freelance market, underscoring the effectiveness of initiatives aimed at enabling women to balance professional and personal commitments.

Government programs like Reef, the Social Development Bank, and the Human Resources Development Fund further support freelancers by fostering an environment conducive to their growth and success, SPA reported.


Ƶ’s food & beverage sales drive $3.14bn in consumer spending

Ƶ’s food & beverage sales drive $3.14bn in consumer spending
Updated 25 December 2024

Ƶ’s food & beverage sales drive $3.14bn in consumer spending

Ƶ’s food & beverage sales drive $3.14bn in consumer spending
  • Restaurants and cafes topped the list with SR1.69 billion in transactions: SAMA data

RIYADH: Ƶ’s consumer spending reached SR11.8 billion ($3.14 billion) in the week of Dec. 15 to Dec. 21, with the food and beverage sectors continuing to lead in sales, official data showed. 

Despite an overall decline of 8.1 percent from the previous week, key sectors, especially dining and food, showed consistent performance, according to data from the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA.  

The restaurants and cafes sector topped the list with SR1.69 billion in transactions, despite a 13.9 percent weekly dip. Food and beverage spending followed closely, settling at SR1.69 billion as well, reflecting a 9 percent decrease. These categories, however, maintained their dominance in consumer expenditure. 

The overall decrease in consumer spending is attributed to the timing of salary disbursements, traditionally paid on the 27th of each month, which typically leads to lower spending in the preceding weeks.  

Additionally, the winter holiday season, during which many expatriates travel home, further influenced the dip in domestic spending. 

Other sectors saw more moderate drops. The value of clothing and footwear transactions fell by 5.2 percent to SR864.15 million, while construction and building materials recorded a small 0.9 percent decline, totaling SR355 million.  

The electronics and electric devices sector saw an 8.7 percent weekly decrease in value, while gas stations and health-related sales also experienced declines of 9.4 percent and 7.3 percent, respectively. 

Jewelry sales recorded a 14.4 percent drop in transaction volumes, with a slight 3.9 percent decrease in value. Miscellaneous goods and services saw a 9.1 percent reduction in sales, totaling SR1.4 billion. 

Regional breakdown  

Regionally, Riyadh remained the largest market with a POS value of SR4.2 billion, although this represented a 6 percent decrease compared to the previous week.  

Jeddah saw a 7.5 percent drop to SR1.6 billion, while Dammam recorded a slight 3.6 percent decline to SR617.5 million. 

Among smaller cities, Hail experienced the largest decrease, with spending down 14.8 percent to SR169.6 million, and a 12.2 percent reduction in transaction volumes. Makkah recorded a 4.4 percent decline in value, settling at SR502.8 million, while Tabuk saw a 12.8 percent decrease in transaction value to SR210.4 million. 

Despite the seasonal slowdown, the food and beverage sectors continue to drive the market, maintaining a steady pace as consumer behavior shifts with the winter season. 


Ƶ leverages project management to achieve Vision 2030 milestones

Ƶ leverages project management to achieve Vision 2030 milestones
Updated 25 December 2024

Ƶ leverages project management to achieve Vision 2030 milestones

Ƶ leverages project management to achieve Vision 2030 milestones

RIYADH: In Ƶ’s pursuit of the ambitious goals set out in Vision 2030, project management has emerged as a key enabler, ensuring that planning aligns seamlessly with execution to achieve transformative outcomes.

This vital discipline is playing a crucial role in turning visionary ideas into reality, as highlighted during a prominent forum held on Tuesday.

The event emphasized the central role of project management in realizing Vision 2030, a comprehensive framework launched in 2016 by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

The vision aims to diversify the economy and reduce the Kingdom’s dependence on oil. Currently, over 5,000 projects, valued at $5 trillion, are underway, signaling Ƶ's substantial progress in reshaping both its economic and social landscapes.

“Project management is the bridge where vision meets ambition, converting plans into tangible results,” said Badr Burshaid, chairman of the Global Project Management Forum.

He also pointed to the Kingdom's significant investment in human capital, particularly through initiatives such as the Human Capability Development Program, which has placed Ƶ among the top 10 nations globally in equipping professionals with essential business skills.

The forum highlighted the importance of strategic execution in driving economic transformation.

Badr Al-Dulami, deputy minister of transport and logistics services for roads affairs, described project management as the “pulse of transformation,” underscoring its role in fostering competitiveness and innovation.

“This summit is not just an event but a platform for uniting expertise and driving collaboration,” Al-Dulami said.

During the forum, excellence awards were presented to pioneering projects that exemplify Vision 2030’s focus on innovation, sustainability, and impactful outcomes.

Al-Dulami noted that these awards serve as an invitation to explore new horizons of creativity while staying aligned with national objectives.

Ƶ’s success under Vision 2030 is evident across several key sectors. With 87 percent of initiatives either completed or on track, the Kingdom has made significant strides in improving its business environment, generating employment, and advancing major projects like NEOM and the Red Sea Project.

These achievements not only demonstrate Ƶ’s strategic capabilities but also highlight its leadership in executing large-scale initiatives.

In closing, Burshaid urged participants to harness the insights and momentum gained from the forum to ensure continued progress.

“The seeds planted today will grow into achievements that inspire future generations,” he said, encouraging stakeholders to prioritize innovation and collaboration as Ƶ moves forward.

With project management at the heart of Vision 2030, Ƶ is setting a global benchmark for strategic execution and sustainable development, solidifying its role as a leader in transformative growth.