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Oil to continue playing crucial role in future energy pathways: OPEC chief

Oil to continue playing crucial role in future energy pathways: OPEC chief
OPEC said that world oil demand will rise by 2.25 million barrels per day in 2024. AFP
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Updated 29 July 2024

Oil to continue playing crucial role in future energy pathways: OPEC chief

Oil to continue playing crucial role in future energy pathways: OPEC chief
  • OPEC says world oil demand will rise by 2.25 million barrels per day in 2024
  • OPEC chief says practically impossible to completely replace oil with electricity

RIYADH: Oil will continue to play a pivotal role in future energy pathways, as petroleum products are essential for the functioning of various sectors, according to the OPEC secretary-general.Ā 

Haitham Al-Ghais said that member countries of the oil producers alliance have clear national electrification plans, which are crucial to reducing emissions, according to a statement from the organization.Ā 

The comments came after the International Energy Agency projected that global oil demand will continue to decline, driven by rapid electric vehicle adoption.Ā 

Earlier this month, OPEC said that world oil demand will rise by 2.25 million barrels per day in 2024 and 1.85 million bpd in 2025.Ā 

ā€œWe believe oil will continue to be a vital component of future energy pathways and this is exemplified by the fact petroleum products are essential for the functioning of other sectors, such as electricity,ā€ said Al-Ghais.Ā 

He added: ā€œOPEC member countries have clear national electrification plans, which are part of a shared belief that all sources of energy will be necessary to meet future demand growth, reduce emissions, tackle energy poverty and ensure energy security.ā€Ā 

Al-Ghais went on to say that energy sources are not locked in a ā€œzero-sum game,ā€ and that oil and petroleum products are crucial for electricity transmission.Ā 

He added that it is practically impossible to completely replace oil with electricity.Ā 

ā€œReality tells us that oil does not operate in isolation, cut off from other sectors and industries. Rather, such is the versatility of petroleum and petroleum-derived products that they play an indispensable role in a host of other sectors and industries,ā€ said Al-Ghais.Ā 

He added: ā€œIt is important to also consider the multitude of petroleum products in the transmission of electricity, which are utilized in manufacturing, maintaining and installing cables, overhead lines, pylons, transformers, substations, and control systems, indeed, in all the components and technologies that make up this vital infrastructure.ā€Ā 

According to Al-Ghais, the expansion of electricity grids can only be materialized with the help of petroleum-derived products.Ā 

He said that underground electric cables need insulation sheaths, which are made of petroleum-derived materials. Meanwhile, transformers ā€” a vital device in electricity transmission ā€” also need oil to function.Ā 

ā€œFor transformers to operate properly, transformer oil is essential. It insulates transformers and ensures that they can function at a stable temperature. These are primarily made from mineral oil ā€” a petroleum distillate,ā€ said Al-Ghais.Ā 

He added: ā€œThe transportation of equipment by road, rail, air, and water will involve vehicles, often highly specialized, that consume gasoline, diesel, aviation and marine fuels. And the vehicles, such as cable-laying vessels, and the material needed to build this critical infrastructure, such as steel, aluminum, copper and concrete, require a host of petroleum products.ā€Ā 

The OPEC chief also said that the expansion of the electricity grid pressurizes supply chains, which could pose challenges to grid development in the coming years.Ā 

ā€œAs the IEA has written, to achieve national energy and climate goals, 80 million km of overhead power lines and underground cables need to be added by 2040. That is the equivalent of replacing the entire existing global grid, equating to 100 trips to the moon and back,ā€ he said.Ā 

According to Al-Ghais, calls to halt new investments in oil projects will jeopardize the production of oil products essential for the smooth functioning and expansion of the electricity grid.Ā 

In its latest monthly report released in July, OPEC said that total world oil demand will reach 104.5 million bpd in 2024, driven by markets like China, the Middle East, India, and Latin America.Ā 

The alliance indicated that the rising demand will be driven by industrial, construction and agricultural activities in non-Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries.Ā 

OPEC also commented that petrochemical capacity additions in non-OECD nations could catalyze global oil demand growth.Ā 

The report warned that the world oil demand growth will also depend on various elements, including future economic developments in major economies.Ā 

In June, Al-Ghais noted that oil demand will grow, propelled by a rebound in the travel industry.Ā 

Speaking at the International Economic Forum, he said that OPEC is always concentrating on market fundamentals to ensure supply, stability and resilience.Ā 

ā€œIt is important to remain focused on the fundamentals. We look at economic growth, we look at supply, we look at demand, and yes, we do still believe demand for oil is good and resilient,ā€ said Al-Ghais.Ā 

He added: ā€œLast year, OPECā€™s forecast for oil demand was the best, and all those who criticized OPECā€™s forecast kept adjusting their number throughout the year.ā€Ā 

The OPEC chief said more investments are needed in the oil industry to stabilize the market and meet the rising demand, adding that energy sources are necessary for the future and efforts should be taken to reduce emissions.Ā 


Qatar strengthens fiscal position with $245m budget surplus in Q4Ā 

Qatar strengthens fiscal position with $245m budget surplus in Q4Ā 
Updated 14 sec ago

Qatar strengthens fiscal position with $245m budget surplus in Q4Ā 

Qatar strengthens fiscal position with $245m budget surplus in Q4Ā 

RIYADH: Qatar recorded a budget surplus of 900 million Qatari riyals ($245.6 million) in the fourth quarter of 2024, up from 100 million riyals in the previous quarter. 

The Ministry of Finance stated on its X account that the surplus will be used to reduce public debt. It added that total expenditures for the quarter stood at 47.8 billion riyals, a 12 percent year-on-year decline, while revenues totaled 48.7 billion riyals, reflecting a 12.5 percent drop. 

The health, municipal and environment, general secretariat, and energy sectors ranked as the top-performing areas during the quarter, according to the Sector Performance Index.  

Qatarā€™s fiscal performance aligns with other Gulf Cooperation Council nations, such as Oman, which recorded a 6.2 percent budget surplus in 2024. This reflects the International Monetary Fundā€™s December review, which highlighted the regionā€™s resilience amid oil production cuts, supported by diversification efforts and economic reforms. 

ā€œFor the second consecutive year, and in line with Qatarā€™s continued dedication to developing health and education, allocations for the two sectors have increased, with both amounting to 20 percent of the total new budget,ā€ the ministry said. 

Government tenders and auctions during the quarter were valued at 6.4 billion riyals, while contracts with local companies totaled 4.8 billion riyals, a 36.8 percent decline compared to the same period in 2023. 

The 2024 state budget prioritized significant investments in healthcare, with 11 percent of total expenditures allocated to the sector. Key projects include the development of the National Cancer Hospital, a specialized psychiatric hospital, and upgrades to existing healthcare facilities. 

In the third quarter of 2024, Qatarā€™s budget surplus declined by 97.4 percent compared to the second quarter. Total revenues for that period were 51.3 billion riyals, driven by oil and gas revenues of 42.3 billion riyals, which fell 25.4 percent year on year due to fluctuating market conditions. 

Non-oil revenues, however, showed strong growth, rising 76.8 percent year on year from a lower base. 

Expenditures totaled 51.2 billion riyals in the third quarter, a 2.8 percent increase compared to the same quarter in 2023, with notable spending on salaries, wages, and minor capital expenditures. 

The government prioritized debt reduction during the period, in line with its fiscal strategy. Public debt stood at 332.4 billion riyals, equivalent to 38.6 percent of nominal gross domestic product. 


Saudia sets new heights in 2024, flying 20m international passengers with 16% growth

Saudia sets new heights in 2024, flying 20m international passengers with 16% growth
Updated 23 min 57 sec ago

Saudia sets new heights in 2024, flying 20m international passengers with 16% growth

Saudia sets new heights in 2024, flying 20m international passengers with 16% growth
  • Saudia reported an 18% increase in transit guests compared to the previous year, surpassing 9.3 million passengers
  • It carried 35 million guests throughout 2024, reflecting a 15% year-on-year increase

JEDDAH: ¶¶Ņõ¶ĢŹÓʵā€™s national flag carrier Saudia reported a 16 percent year-on-year rise in its international passenger numbers in 2024, reaching 20 million, highlighting its growth and operational success.

Saudia also reported an 18 percent increase in transit guests compared to the previous year, surpassing 9.3 million passengers, according to its performance report statement, released on Jan. 23.

The growth reflects the carrierā€™s efforts to strengthen global connections to the Kingdom, supporting the ambitious goals of Saudi Vision 2030 in tourism, entertainment, sports, and the Muslim Hajj and Umrah pilgrimages.

According to the International Air Transport Association, the Middle Eastā€™s air travel market continued its strong recovery in November, with passenger demand increasing by 8.9 percent compared to the same month in 2023.

While this growth was robust, it was slightly ahead of the global trend, which saw an 8.1 percent increase in total passenger demand.

 

The regionā€™s performance was part of a broader international trend, where the Middle East, alongside Europe and Asia-Pacific, led the way in demand growth. However, airlines in the region continue to face challenges in aircraft supply, preventing them from fully meeting growing demand and improving their services, IATA said in a statement released earlier this month.

Major international markets in the Middle East experienced a notable increase in traffic demand, driven by the strong performance of the regionā€™s largest aviation hubs, despite some countries facing challenges from geopolitical conflicts, according to IATA.

Ibrahim Al-Omar, the director general of Saudia Group, said that success in the competitive aviation industry requires a continuously evolving strategy, adding that the airline remains committed to achieving sustainable operational excellence while upholding the highest international standards.

ā€œThis remarkable growth is a testament to the dedication and hard work of Saudiaā€™s employees and the strategic optimization of our aircraft fleet to deliver exceptional service. We have also made significant strides in enhancing our services and enriching the overall guest experience,ā€ he said.

In its report, Saudia said that it carried 35 million guests throughout 2024, reflecting a 15 percent year-on-year increase.

The airline reported operating 193,000 scheduled and additional flights last year, reflecting a 10 percent increase from the year before, adding that it also achieved an 8.5 percent rise in flight hours, totaling over 581,000, while maintaining an on-time performance rate of 89.1 percent, marking a 2.7 percent improvement.

The companyā€™s customer satisfaction metric showed a 32.7 score, reflecting a 4.5 percent increase compared to 2023, according to the statement.

Saudia said it saw a notable increase in guest engagement through modern technologies as part of its ongoing digital transformation. It noted a 40 percent rise in usage of the Saudia app, while the Government Digital Wallet, GovClick, drove an impressive 324 percent growth in digital service adoption.

The companyā€™s futuristic plans include strengthening its operational model, particularly during peak travel seasons, by expanding its fleet, increasing seat capacity, and broadening its global network.

With a current fleet of 147 aircraft, the airline aims to add 118 new planes in the coming years as part of its growth strategy.


Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,354

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,354
Updated 38 min 20 sec ago

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,354

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,354

RIYADH: ¶¶Ņõ¶ĢŹÓʵā€™s Tadawul All Share Index slipped on Thursday, losing 8.35 points, or 0.07 percent, to close at 12,354.04. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR6.67 billion ($1.77 billion), as 112 of the stocks advanced and 114 retreated.  

Similarly, the Kingdomā€™s parallel market Nomu lost 154.28 points, or 0.50 percent, to close at 30,846.59. This comes as 32 of the listed stocks advanced while 49 retreated.  

The MSCI Tadawul Index also lost 1.64 points, or 0.11 percent, to close at 1,543.38.  

The best-performing stock of the day was Almoosa Health Co., whose share price surged 10 percent to SR154. 

Other top performers included Al Jouf Cement Co., whose share price rose 8.22 percent to SR12.90, as well as Northern Region Cement Co., whose share price surged 6.56 percent to SR9.91.

Saudi Reinsurance Co. recorded the most significant drop, falling 2.90 percent to SR60.20, while Middle East Specialized Cables Co. also saw its stock prices fall 2.67 percent to SR45.60. 

Kingdom Holding Co. recorded a drop of 2.42 percent to SR9.29.

On the announcements front, Riyad Bank has completed the offer of its SR-denominated additional tier 1 capital sukuk under its Additional Tier 1 Capital Sukuk Program, which is worth SR10 billion. 

According to a Tadawul statement, the total number of sukuk is 800, with the value of the offer standing at SR2 billion. The statement also showed that while the par value is SR250,000, the return is 6 percent per annum.

Riyad Bank ended the session at SR29.60, with no percentage change in price.

Albilad Capital has rebalanced the sukuk basket for the Albilad Saudi Sovereign Sukuk ETF to align with the components of the index. According to a bourse filing, the rebalancing took place on Jan. 22.

Albilad Capital ended the session at SR8.30, with no percentage change in price.

¶¶Ņõ¶ĢŹÓʵn Cooperative Insurance Co. has decreased its accumulated losses to 0 percent of the capital. According to a Tadawul statement, this move is mainly attributed to the use of SR39 million out of the total statutory reserve balance amounting, to SR43 million to extinguish the firmā€™s accumulated losses. 

The company highlighted that the use of the companyā€™s statutory reserve has no impact on its financial obligations.

¶¶Ņõ¶ĢŹÓʵn Cooperative Insurance Co. ended the session at SR16.70, up 1.24 percent.

Arabian Plastic Industrial Co. has signed a contract with Badael Co., a Public Investment Fund firm, to manufacture and supply plastic containers for 3 years. 

A bourse filing revealed that the agreement value exceeds 5 percent of the companyā€™s total revenues according to the audited annual financial statements for the year 2023. The filing also indicated that the financial impact of the deal is forecasted to be reflected positively on the financial statements starting from the first half of 2025.

Arabian Plastic Industrial Co. ended the session at SR37, up 1.23 percent.


GCC banks to issue over $30bn in US dollar debt in 2025: Fitch RatingsĀ 

GCC banks to issue over $30bn in US dollar debt in 2025: Fitch RatingsĀ 
Updated 23 January 2025

GCC banks to issue over $30bn in US dollar debt in 2025: Fitch RatingsĀ 

GCC banks to issue over $30bn in US dollar debt in 2025: Fitch RatingsĀ 

RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council banks are projected to issue over $30 billion in US dollar-denominated debt in 2025, following a record $42 billion in 2024, Fitch Ratings said in a new report. 

The surge in debt issuance is set to be driven by nearly $23 billion in maturing debt, lower US dollar interest rates, and strong regional credit demand, particularly in ¶¶Ņõ¶ĢŹÓʵ and the UAE. 

This comes as GCC banks accounted for 18 percent of total US dollar debt issuance by emerging-market banks in 2024, with this figure rising to 36 percent if Chinese banks are excluded. Favorable global financing conditions, supported by high oil prices expected to stay around $70 per barrel in 2025, are expected to continue to bolster investor confidence in the region. 

ā€œWe expect Saudi banksā€™ US dollar debt issuance to continue representing a high proportion of overall GCC issuance given the countryā€™s strong credit growth outlook, especially in the corporate segment, and the banksā€™ increased use of external funding due to high competition for liquidity locally,ā€ stated Fitch Ratings. 

Last year, GCC banks broke their previous debt issuance record of $25.6 billion set in 2020. This increase was largely attributed to strong credit growth in ¶¶Ņõ¶ĢŹÓʵ, banksā€™ efforts to diversify funding sources, and high debt maturities. The issuance of certificates of deposits alone totaled $8.6 billion, benefiting from investor optimism and the regionā€™s economic stability, the report noted. 

Saudi and UAE banks were the leading issuers, each accounting for around a third of total GCC debt issuance. Saudi banks, in particular, have become active in international debt markets since 2020, using external funding to support aggressive growth strategies, diversify funding bases, and meet rising foreign currency demands. 

Short-term CDs were a key instrument in GCC banksā€™ debt strategies in 2024, accounting for about 21 percent of total debt issuance. Key financial hubs such as New York, London, Hong Kong, and Singapore facilitated much of this activity, broadening investor bases and enhancing liquidity options. 

The report noted that Islamic finance stayed strong, with sukuk issuance accounting for nearly half of the total 2024 issuance, excluding CDs. The growth in sukuk highlights its appeal to shariah-compliant investors and competitive pricing that makes it an attractive funding instrument for regional banks. 

Fitch expects Saudi banks to maintain a dominant share of GCC debt issuance in 2025, driven by strong credit growth in the corporate sector and increasing competition for local liquidity. 

In 2025, GCC banks will face substantial debt maturities, with Qatari banks expected to account for one-third of the $23 billion due. Saudi and UAE banks will each represent about a quarter of the maturing debt. 

Despite global economic uncertainties, Fitch stated that GCC banks are expected to leverage their solid credit ratings and favorable economic conditions to secure advantageous financing terms. 

Sukuk issuance is expected to grow further as banks tap into the expanding pool of shariah-compliant investors. Fitch said the continued use of short-term instruments like CDs will provide banks with greater flexibility in managing funding needs and expanding their global investor base. 

Additionally, GCC banks are expected to issue $2.2 billion in additional Tier 1 instruments with first call dates in 2025, followed by $3.1 billion in 2026. This will further support debt issuance, as most GCC bank AT1s are likely to be called due to favorable financing conditions. 

AT1 issuance reached $5 billion in 2024, up from $1.7 billion in 2023, marking the highest level since 2021. This surge was driven mainly by Saudi banks. 

As GCC banks continue to play a key role in regional economic growth, their strategic debt issuance and diversified funding solutions are expected to drive further financial stability and market confidence in 2025. 


WEF panelists urge for efforts to bridge ā€˜AI divideā€™

WEF panelists urge for efforts to bridge ā€˜AI divideā€™
Updated 23 January 2025

WEF panelists urge for efforts to bridge ā€˜AI divideā€™

WEF panelists urge for efforts to bridge ā€˜AI divideā€™
  • According to UN figures, 2.7 billion people do not have access to the Internet

DUBAI: While smart technologies unleash opportunities in investment and trade, concerted efforts must seek to bridge the ā€œAI divideā€ in developing countries, a World Economic Forum panel heard on Thursday.

Deemah Al-Yahya, secretary-general of the Digital Cooperation Organization, said the need for energy, computing power and talent to activate AI would expand the digital gap in the developing world.

ā€œAn AI-generated image consumes more energy than charging your smartphone. Thatā€™s going to cause a great challenge for developed countries, so let alone developing countries that do not even have reliable energy.ā€

She added: ā€œAnother factor is who is going to get access to the computing power, considering the supply chain and cost? How can talents access the computer power to produce algorithms, local content and innovation?ā€

According to UN figures, 2.7 billion people do not have access to the Internet, with AI growth threatening to widen the digital gap.

However, using trading digital assets can increase access to new technologies, including AI, quantum computing and blockchain, in the global south, Al-Yahya said.

Highlighting the varying degrees of advancement of digital infrastructures among countries, Al-Yahya stressed harmonizing collaboration and bridge communication between the public and private sector, which served as the drivers of the digital economy.

One of the Digital Cooperation Organizationā€™s mandates is to harmonize policies and regulations among 16 member states from Asia, Europe, Africa and the Middle East to expand technology use and grow their digital economy.

Addressing the benefits of AI in improving efficiency and reducing errors, Thani Ahmed Al-Zeyoudi, UAE minister of state for foreign trade, highlighted synergies and links to different tech systems, even within the same country.

ā€œMany of those technologies are under deployment, but in various scattered ways. Each stakeholder is following their own way when it comes to customers, procedures and managements system,ā€ said Al-Zeyoudi, highlighting the role of governments in implementing regulations that put AI to good use and ensure communication across stakeholders.

He addressed the UAEā€™s export of technologies to Africa, noting that the private sector took the lead in such initiatives.

ā€œTo avoid fragmentation as governments, we need to take the lead by putting (in place) a regulatory system that ensures that the private sector has the freedom to start doing their job, get the funding whenever required, and support them in talking to the right stakeholders,ā€ he said.