抖阴短视频鈥檚 real GDP to grow by 2.5% in 2024 driven by non-oil activities: World Bank聽
抖阴短视频鈥檚 real GDP to grow by 2.5% in 2024 driven by non-oil activities: World Bank聽/node/2519271/business-economy
抖阴短视频鈥檚 real GDP to grow by 2.5% in 2024 driven by non-oil activities: World Bank聽
Safaa El-Tayeb El-Kogali, World Bank鈥檚 country director for GCC. AN photo
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Updated 29 May 2024
MANAL AL-BARAKATI
抖阴短视频鈥檚 real GDP to grow by 2.5% in 2024 driven by non-oil activities: World Bank聽
Updated 29 May 2024
MANAL AL-BARAKATI
RIYADH:聽抖阴短视频鈥檚聽real聽gross domestic product聽is expected聽to grow by 2.5 percent in 2024, driven primarily by robust non-oil private activities, which are predicted to grow by 4.8 percent.
Similarly, economic growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council region聽is projected聽to rebound to 2.8 percent and 4.7 percent in 2024 and 2025, respectively, according to the Spring 2024聽Gulf Economic Update issued by the World Bank.聽
With oil production quotas expected to聽be gradually lifted聽during the second half of 2024, oil GDP in the GCC聽is projected to grow by 1.7 percent this year before ramping up aggressively in 2025 to reach 6.9 percent.
Meanwhile, non-oil GDP in the GCC should remain robust and expand by 3.6 percent in 2024 and 3.5 percent in the medium term, supported by accommodative fiscal policy, lower interest rates, and聽strong聽private consumption and investment.
Talking to Arab News, Safaa El-Tayeb El-Kogali, World Bank鈥檚 country director for GCC, said the growth was further driven by region-wide efforts to steer economies away from oil.
鈥淚 have to point out here that really the efforts to reform the economy and diversify it in all the countries of the GCC are reflected in the robust growth of the non-oil economy, which is expected to be 3.5 percent in 2024 and 3.6 percent in 2025,鈥 the top executive said.
However, she outlined that he GCC region experienced an economic slowdown in 2023, growing at an annual rate of 0.7 percent, after registering a stellar growth of 7.6 percent in 2022.聽
While the growth in 2022 was supported by a boom in commodity prices, increased oil production, and strong non-hydrocarbon activities, the deceleration in 2023 was primarily due to cuts in oil production, which contracted by 5 percent, in line with tighter quotas introduced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, to stabilize oil prices, she added.
Thus, the overall oil GDP in the region is expected to register a contraction of 0.8 percent in 2024, according to the World Bank report, however, these trends are expected to be reversed in 2025, with oil output anticipated to ramp up aggressively resulting in 5.9 percent overall GDP growth.
According to the official, this was further exacerbated by tightening global monetary conditions and geopolitical developments, the 鈥渃onflict in the Middle East鈥 and the ramifications of shipping disruptions in the Red Sea.聽
Further escalation of the war on Gaza could have adverse economic implications and spillover effects on the region, thus increasing uncertainty and dampening investor confidence, reduce tourism, cause capital outflows and financial market instability, weigh on investment growth, and subsequently weaken prospects for output and productivity growth, the report stated.
The World Bank official said: 鈥淚n the context of expected slower global growth in 2024 for the third consecutive year, oil prices will continue to play an integral part in defining the growth prospects for the GCC region. Despite ongoing OPEC+ production cuts, average oil prices for 2024 are expected to remain flat compared to 2023, with a further decline anticipated in 2025.鈥
She added: 鈥淒espite the cautious oil production levels implemented by OPEC+ members, oil prices are expected to remain nearly unchanged in 2024 (at $80 per barrel) and further decline to $76 per barrel in 2025. Several factors present large uncertainties to energy market outlook, notably the geopolitical tensions recently exacerbated by the military attacks between Iran and Israel and the ongoing disruptions of commercial shipping routes in the Red Sea. Any further escalation in regional conflicts could disrupt energy supplies, leading to a spike in energy prices.鈥
According to the official, other factors include the recent strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, the degree of compliance by OPEC+ countries to production quotas, and the prospects of global economic growth and the ensuing volatility in world oil consumption and demand.
Additionally, weaker-than-projected growth in China could cause a sharper than expected deceleration in global economic activity, she further explained.聽
Middle East鈥檚 rise to becoming global aviation hub 鈥榓bsolutely incredible,鈥 Menzies chairman says
Hassan El-Houry says aviation vital for global, domestic economies
Forecasts 300% growth over 10 years, $200bn investment in airports
Updated 31 min 35 sec ago
DANIEL FOUNTAIN
DAVOS: The Middle East鈥檚 rise as a global aviation hub has been 鈥渁bsolutely incredible鈥 and should be a source of pride, according to Hassan El-Houry, chairman at Menzies Aviation.
Speaking to Arab News recently at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, El-Houry said the region鈥檚 aviation growth over the past two decades demonstrates that 鈥渢he impossible is possible.鈥
鈥淚n 20 years the Middle East has become an absolute hub for aviation. It鈥檚 absolutely incredible. It really makes us proud.鈥
He added: 鈥淭he Middle East started from a very low base. If you go back 20 years, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha, 抖阴短视频 鈥 they were not transit hubs.
鈥淚 remember traveling to London or Europe or East Asia, and in hotels, you鈥檇 see four clocks 鈥 San Francisco, New York, London and Tokyo. Today, there鈥檚 one in the middle: Dubai. Finally, the Middle East is now seen as a hub, and it鈥檚 great.鈥
Looking ahead, he said the projections for the region were positive. 鈥淲e鈥檙e forecasting 300 percent growth over the next 10 years in aviation and almost $200 billion in investment in airports.
鈥淭his outpaces any other region. It鈥檚 absolutely incredible what we鈥檙e going to see over the next five (to) 10 years for the Middle East, particularly the GCC,鈥 he said.
And globally, he said the outlook was similarly bright, while reflecting on the unprecedented challenges the industry faced during the COVID-19 pandemic.
鈥淭hat shows two things: first, we鈥檝e fully recovered from COVID-19, which is great, and second, it shows the resilience of the aviation sector,鈥 he said.
鈥淲e had literally the largest and most impactful crisis, which challenged the aviation sector. We lost a lot of people who worked in aviation 鈥 they sought jobs elsewhere, and rightfully so. A lot of investment went elsewhere,鈥 he added.
Despite these setbacks, El-Houry emphasized aviation鈥檚 crucial role in the global economy and its ability to connect people. 鈥淕overnments were asking themselves, why should we invest in aviation when it鈥檚 so sensitive to shocks?
鈥淲hat we can see now is that aviation is resilient and is absolutely critical to the global economy, to domestic economies, for people. Connectivity matters. People want to connect, people want to see each other.
鈥淛ust look around here at WEF in Davos 鈥 not a single person is wearing a mask. That just shows that people want the human connection, and aviation鈥檚 resilience makes that happen,鈥 he said.
While optimistic about global and regional progress, El-Houry expressed some concerns. 鈥淥ne region which has not fully recovered is Africa, which has been struggling for many reasons 鈥 debt, inflation, some geopolitical issues, and lack of investment,鈥 he said.
鈥淎fricans make up 17 percent of the world鈥檚 population but only 2 percent of the world鈥檚 travelers, a statistic that has remained unchanged in the past 10 years. I鈥檇 love to see Africa bridge that gap and develop.鈥
He called for greater investment and attention to the continent, highlighting the potential of aviation to unlock economic and social opportunities.
El-Houry concluded with a clear message for world leaders that aviation must be treated as an economic priority. 鈥淎viation is no longer a privilege for the 1 percent. It鈥檚 super important for everybody across the socio-economic spectrum.鈥
鈥淚n the past, governments used to look at aviation as another way of taxing the 1 percent. Today, aviation is important for education, for healthcare, for family connections, for trade 鈥 everything.
鈥淪o, let鈥檚 make sure that aviation remains a priority, a pillar of the economy, and super important for economic growth,鈥 he urged.
抖阴短视频 seeing steady growth in non-oil economy says economy minister
Updated 24 January 2025
Dalal Awienat
DAVOS: 抖阴短视频 is seeing steady growth in the non-oil economy, said Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim in Davos on Friday.
Alibrahim called for action-oriented leadership in global economies and said that Saudi Vision 2030 was an example of a strong campaign led by bold leadership that developed solutions for economic problems.
鈥淰ision 2030 is a long-term campaign in order to restructure the economy. We care about the non-oil economy, it currently represents 52 percent of the GDP for the first time,鈥 he said.
Alibrahim said that the Kingdom expected to close 2024 with 3.9 percent growth in the non-oil economy.
He followed up by saying 2025 was predicted to see 4.8 percent growth, and by 2026 growth would equate to 6.2 percent.
Alibrahim commented on the longstanding friendship between the Kingdom and the US.
鈥湺兑醵淌悠碘檚 position is to have a strong partnership with all its partners and friends. Tariffs have been used as a tool in the economy when they are for an objective and time bound. Tariffs can help create a competitive environment so local industries can start,鈥 he said.
Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, said that 抖阴短视频 had the right strategy when dealing with tariffs.
鈥淭rade among politically aligned countries is higher. But countries that are friends with everybody perform the best,鈥 Georgieva said.
Alibrahim ended the session by announcing a regular world economic global forum meeting in the Kingdom set to be held in the spring of 2026.
DUBAI: Emirates airline will resume flights to Beirut on Feb. 1 after a four-month suspension triggered by conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, a statement said on Friday.
The Middle East鈥檚 biggest airline will first offer a daily return flight and scale up to two services per day from April 1, the statement said.
Emirates will also resume a daily flight to the Iraqi capital, Baghdad, from Feb.1, it added.
The Dubai-based, state-owned carrier was one of several regional airlines to suspend Beirut services in late September as tensions soared between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah.
A truce came into effect on November 27, ending over a year of hostilities.
抖阴短视频 champions youth as it drives talent development to fuel Vision 2030
Kingdom is encouraging entrepreneurship聽
76 percent of young Saudis view the government as a positive change-driver
Updated 24 January 2025
Nadin Hassan
RIYADH: As 抖阴短视频 redefines its economy and aspirations under Vision 2030, the Kingdom is placing a tremendous focus on its most valuable asset 鈥 its youth.
Through a dynamic blend of public-private partnerships, targeted training, and groundbreaking programs, 抖阴短视频 is setting the stage for a new generation of skilled professionals who will not only fuel growth but also transform the economic landscape.
Figures from the General Authority for Statistics released in 2023 show that 63 percent of the Kingdom鈥檚 population is under 30 years old, and the government and private sector are working hand-in-hand to shape the coming era.
鈥淒igital literacy is essential, as technological advancements require the younger generation to not only be proficient in the latest advancements but also drive innovation in areas like AI and data analytics,鈥 Riyadh Al-Najjar, PwC Middle East chairman and 抖阴短视频 country senior partner, told Arab News
He added: 鈥淎n entrepreneurial mindset is equally important, as the success of Vision 2030 relies on growing the private sector. Young people need to be able to spot opportunities, think critically, and solve problems that add value to the economy.鈥
On a similar perspective, Zehar Filemban, executive director in talent development at Red Sea Global, noted the essential skills 抖阴短视频 is focusing on to prepare its youth for roles in an evolving economy.
In emerging fields like technology, tourism, and renewable energy, digital literacy is crucial, enabling young Saudis to work with advanced technologies, while problem-solving equips them to tackle complex challenges and project management ensures efficient handling of tasks and responsibilities.
鈥淏y nurturing these skills, we aim to empower the next generation to contribute effectively to the Kingdom鈥檚 evolving economy,鈥 Filemban told Arab News.
Alongside these technical skills, critical thinking, adaptability, and leadership are equally important.
Critical thinking allows young professionals to approach problems analytically, adaptability helps them respond effectively to rapid changes, and leadership empowers them to drive projects and inspire teams.
By cultivating both technical and soft skills, 抖阴短视频 aims to equip the next generation to lead in a competitive job market, fostering innovation and supporting the country鈥檚 ambitious economic transformation under Vision 2030.
鈥淎n entrepreneurial mindset is equally important, as the success of Vision 2030 relies on growing the private sector,鈥 Al-Najjar said, underscoring that the future workforce must not only navigate established pathways but also create their own.
Robust youth engagement
PwC's Middle East Youth Outlook 2024 report underscores the importance of local talent development for the Kingdom鈥檚 future, indicating that a large portion of Saudi youth are highly motivated to contribute to the nation's progress.
The report reveals that 76 percent of young Saudis view the government as a positive change-driver, reflecting trust in the Vision 2030 agenda and a desire to align with national goals.
It also emphasizes that Saudi youth are keenly interested in career pathways that not only offer upward mobility but also provide opportunities to build skills in fields critical to the Kingdom鈥檚 sustainable future, like technology, healthcare, renewable energy, and tourism.
Filling the skills gap via private-public partnerships
Private companies in 抖阴短视频 are working alongside government initiatives to improve youth employment and skill development.
"We actively partner with various ministries and educational institutions to offer tailored training programs that address industry-specific needs,鈥 Filemban said.
He continued: 鈥淭hese collaborations, such as the RSG Elite Graduate Program, RSG Scholarship Program, Red Sea Vocational Training Program, and partnerships with local educational institutions, ensure that Saudi youth gain practical, hands-on experience while building a strong foundation for their careers, ultimately aligning with the goals of Vision 2030 and beyond.鈥
The alignment of private companies with government initiatives has been essential to the Kingdom鈥檚 approach, creating job readiness programs that meet the demands of the local labor market.
PwC, along with other private-sector giants like Aramco, NEOM, and Red Sea Global, are deeply committed to skill development and Saudization, reducing dependency on expatriate labor by equipping local talent with the expertise necessary to fill high-demand roles.
The firm鈥檚 Hemam program provides Saudi youth with training in consulting and technology, coupled with mentorship to bridge the gap between education and employment.
鈥淚t is also important for the private sector and educational institutions to continue working closely together, as it plays a pivotal role in preparing young Saudis for their careers,鈥 Al-Najjar said.
He added: 鈥淯niversities and academic institutions are increasingly working alongside businesses to ensure that curricula and training programmes are aligned with the specific needs of in demand sectors.鈥
Al-Najjar went on to say: 鈥淭his alignment ensures that graduates possess the needed skills and are well-equipped to transition from education to employment seamlessly.鈥
Encouraging entrepreneurship
抖阴短视频鈥檚 burgeoning entrepreneurial ecosystem is also playing a significant role in economic diversification.
The government, along with private-sector incubators such as The Garage and Flat6Labs, offers young business minds vital resources, including funding, mentorship, and technical support.
According to Al-Najjar, the private-sector incubators across the Kingdom play a significant role by providing entrepreneurs with access to technical expertise, strategic advice, and an extensive network of investors.
This guidance is helping young Saudis transform innovative concepts into viable businesses, fostering a generation of self-starters who contribute to job creation and economic growth.
Programs like these underscore the rise in entrepreneurial interest among Saudi youth, who are increasingly drawn to fields such as technology, renewable energy, and gaming.
Building a sustainable workforce: Saudization and beyond
抖阴短视频鈥檚 shift towards a sustainable, homegrown workforce involves not only training but also the transfer of knowledge from foreign experts to Saudi nationals.
Companies are focused on workforce localization and training, with entities like Red Sea Global launching initiatives to empower Saudi talent to take on roles in fields such as tourism and renewable energy.
Filemban described RSG鈥檚 Global Leader Program as a targeted leadership initiative aimed at building capacity within Saudi nationals.
鈥淭his approach creates a sustainable workforce and also fosters a culture of ownership and innovation, empowering Saudis to take on roles across key sectors. We are also investing in a range of leadership initiatives, including the RSG Global Leader Program,鈥 he said.
Filemban added: 鈥淵oung Saudis are showing particular interest in sectors like tourism, technology, and renewable energy, areas that align closely with the goals of Vision 2030.鈥
He further explained that by connecting them with industry experts and providing resources, they enable them to transform their innovative concepts into sustainable businesses that contribute to the Kingdom鈥檚 economic growth.
Looking ahead to what鈥檚 next
When asked about further steps that 抖阴短视频 should take to retain and attract talent in fields crucial to Vision 2030, Filemban noted that the Kingdom must continue to develop a robust talent ecosystem that not only attracts skilled professionals but also retains them in essential fields
鈥淭his can be achieved by expanding partnerships with global educational institutions, investing in lifelong learning programs, and enhancing incentives for skill development,鈥 he said.
Filemban continued: 鈥淎t Red Sea Global, we are committed to developing comprehensive career pathways, creating opportunities for continuous professional growth, and fostering an environment where top talent is valued and nurtured.鈥
On his side, Al-Najjar emphasized the importance of 抖阴短视频 taking active steps to attract and retain talent in fields critical to the country鈥檚 future, even beyond Vision 2030.
鈥淎 key priority will be creating flexible, purpose-driven workplaces that connect back to the demand of today鈥檚 workforce. As highlighted in our Hopes and Fears Survey, 57 percent of workers value work-life balance and job security,鈥 he said.
Al-Najjar continued: 鈥淭his makes it essential for businesses to expand initiatives such as remote working policies, wellness programmes, and inclusive environments.
He added that this involves expanding public-private partnerships for advanced training, enhancing the appeal of fields like cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, and clean energy, and offering incentives and career growth opportunities for young professionals.
鈥淏y focusing on these areas, Saudi will have created a dynamic ecosystem that not only attracts global professionals but also nurtures and retains local talent who will drive the Kingdom鈥檚 economic transformation,鈥 Al-Najjar said.
The Middle East Youth Outlook 2024 report recommends that 抖阴短视频 continue to invest in scholarships, internships, and public-private collaborations to attract young professionals to emerging industries.
In doing so, the Kingdom is not only positioning itself as a talent hub but also fostering an environment where local youth can thrive and innovate.
Overcoming the challenges
Despite these extensive efforts, challenges remain. As Filemban pointed out: 鈥淥ne of the core challenges is bridging the gap between the skills young Saudis acquire in educational institutions and the rapidly evolving needs of the job market.鈥
The rapid pace of technological advancement, combined with the evolving demands of industries like AI and data analytics, requires continuous upskilling.
Initiatives such as Vision 2030鈥檚 Human Capability Development Program aim to address this by aligning education with industry requirements, preparing youth for careers in key sectors through practical skills and soft skills training.
In response, companies like Red Sea Global and PwC are working closely with universities and vocational training centers to develop curricula and training programs that meet industry standards.
This alignment between academia and industry is crucial to ensuring that young Saudis are equipped with relevant, market-driven skills, enabling them to transition smoothly into the workforce.
Oil Updates 鈥 prices poised for weekly fall on Trump鈥檚 energy policies
Updated 33 min 40 sec ago
Reuters
LONDON: Oil prices edged up on Friday but remained on track for a weekly decline after US President Donald Trump announced sweeping plans to boost US production and demanded that OPEC move to lower crude prices.
Brent crude futures gained 25 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $78.54 a barrel by 2:47 p.m. Saudi time GMT while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 22 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $74.84.
Over the week Brent has lost nearly 3 percent while WTI is down close to 4 percent.
鈥淎fter a week of Trump being in office, the various executive orders are not being disruptive to oil supplies. Most of what he has done has been with an inward domestic focus,鈥 said Harry Tchilinguiran at Onyx Capital Group.
鈥淲e were looking for pronouncements around tariffs, around Iran, Venezuela and Russia.鈥
Ahead of Trump鈥檚 inauguration the market had built up a net long position in oil futures to hedge against price gains arising from supply disruption, but this has now started to unwind, Tchilinguiran said.
Trump, during his speech on Thursday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, said he would demand that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries bring down the cost of crude barrels.
He also said he would ask 抖阴短视频 to increase a US investment package to $1 trillion, up from $600 billion reported by the Kingdom鈥檚 state news agency earlier in the day.
鈥淚 don鈥檛 really expect OPEC will change policy unless there is a change in fundamentals,鈥 said UBS commodities analyst Giovanni Staunovo. 鈥淢arkets will be relatively muted until we get more clarity on sanctions policy and tariffs.鈥
Trump had declared a national energy emergency on Monday, rolling back environmental restrictions on energy infrastructure as part of a sweeping plan to maximize domestic oil and gas production.
On Wednesday, he vowed to hit the EU with tariffs and impose 25 percent tariffs against Canada and Mexico, and said his administration was considering a 10 percent punitive duty on China.
As attention shifts to a possible February timeline for new tariffs set by Trump, caution will likely persist in the market as any new trade restrictions will carry negative implications for global growth, potentially weighing on oil demand prospects, said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
Traders expect oil prices to range between $76.50 and $78 a barrel, Yeap added.
While bullish catalysts like a significant drawdown in US crude stocks are providing temporary positive swings, an overall oversupplied global market and ailing projections of Chinese demand continue to weigh on crude futures, Phillip Nova鈥檚 Sachdeva said.
US crude inventories last week hit their lowest level since March 2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
The EIA report, issued a day late because of a US holiday on Monday, said crude stockpiles fell by 1 million barrels to 411.7 million barrels in the week to Jan. 17, marking a ninth consecutive weekly decline.