Biden鈥檚 visit to 抖阴短视频: Late or early?
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From a market point of view, what signals can we get from the news that US President Joe Biden has finally decided to visit 抖阴短视频?
The easy answer is more oil supplies.
Yet, I believe that this would signal a mixed energy policy for an administration that is halfway through its term.
If this visit shows anything, it shows that the US does not have a sound energy policy in place; and if there is any, then it is most likely a very reactive one.
Setting long-term targets without addressing or focusing on the short-term needs won鈥檛 help a country like the US.
The current energy crisis has shown that gasoline prices are at the heart of the US policies 鈥 no matter how much its officials claim that they care less about fossil fuel.
We are in 2022 and the success of any US president still hinges on what the citizens feel about prices at the gas station.
However, it took the current US administration a long time to signal that it finally got it right and will do its best to ensure that the US taxpayers won鈥檛 suffer when they go to fuel their vehicles.
Frankly speaking, the White House went a little bit far when it called on the refiners to lower gasoline prices out of sympathy for the consumers.
It is a 鈥減atriotic duty鈥 now to lower prices and not to respond to the laws of supply and demand after gasoline hit the historical level of $5 per gallon.
So again it鈥檚 not clear what energy policy or what economic thinking is at work when market actions are influenced by political motives.
For President Biden鈥檚 visit to become successful, it must be part of a bigger agenda or a grandiose energy scheme.
It must signal that the US is committed to reasonable policies when it comes to energy transitions and it must signal that working with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is and will always be a priority for any US administration.
The US cannot afford to avoid OPEC because it鈥檚 the only force that can stabilize the market along with OPEC+, the supreme being that is now responsible for almost half of the world鈥檚 oil production.
This trip can鈥檛 be more than a start toward a better and more clear global energy policy as the US needs that.
The energy transition is a journey that we need to make together and we need to make sure that we all move at the same pace or at least without leaving anyone behind.
Wael Mahdi
From releasing strategic petroleum reserves to calling on refiners to increase production and forgo profit, the US administration did everything to avoid working closely with the OPEC. It took it to see the price of a gallon soar to $5 to understand that they needed a turn.
So, is it late or early for President Biden to make this trip to 抖阴短视频?
I believe it鈥檚 late if we consider the situation with gasoline prices, but it can be early if we start thinking about the future.
The future isn鈥檛 green or renewable, the future is affordable.
When gasoline prices are at $2 a gallon, it鈥檚 easy to turn your back to fossil fuel and think about an ideal world with no OPEC and no carbon emissions.
But when gasoline is at $5 a gallon and economic pain is all that people feel every day, people won鈥檛 care about carbon emission and they will think about working with any party to ease the pain even if it is OPEC.
I鈥檓 not sure if the US is ready to embrace new thinking, but I鈥檓 hopeful that the $5 per gallon will be an eye-opener for Americans.
The world needs more collaboration to ensure that our citizens don鈥檛 feel economic pain.
The present and the future of our economies will require all sources of energy.
The energy transition is a journey that we need to make together and we need to make sure that we all move at the same pace or at least without leaving anyone behind.
And last but not the least, the US needs OPEC and OPEC needs a US administration with a clear energy policy.
鈥 Wael Mahdi is an independent energy commentator specializing on OPEC and a co-author of 鈥淥PEC in a Shale Oil World: Where to Next?鈥
Twitter: @waelmahdi