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WASHINGTON: Contentious new US demands are set to hit NAFTA negotiating tables on Wednesday, threatening to push modernization talks toward collapse as Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau again tries to remind US President Donald Trump of the trade pact鈥檚 merits.
Trudeau will meet with Trump and trade-focused US lawmakers on the North American Free Trade Agreement while hundreds of negotiators, government officials and lobbyists from Canada, Mexico and the United States descend on a hotel in Arlington, Virginia for a fourth round of talks.
The Canadian leader鈥檚 visit comes amid increasing acrimony over NAFTA renegotiations, with Trump making fresh threats to terminate the 23-year-old agreement and the US Chamber of Commerce on Tuesday accusing Trump鈥檚 administration of trying to sabotage the talks with 鈥減oison pill proposals.鈥�
Mexican Foreign Minister Luis Videgaray warned that an end to NAFTA would mark a breaking point in US-Mexican relations and affect bilateral cooperation in non-trade areas.
The NAFTA talks are likely to stall in the face of aggressive US demands to sharply increase content requirements for autos and auto parts, trade experts say.
The Washington round promises to be difficult, with Mexican sources saying the talks are expected to be extended by two days to Oct 17.
People briefed on the US proposals said that the North American content threshold for automotive would rise to 85 percent from the current 62.5 percent, with a 50 percent US-specific content requirement.
鈥淭hese will be met with widespread opposition from Canada and Mexico. I think it鈥檚 just a bridge too far,鈥� said Wendy Cutler, the Asia Society鈥檚 Washington policy director and former chief US negotiator for the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal canceled by Trump.
Other contentious US proposals opposed by Canada, Mexico and US business interests include a five-year sunset provision, radical changes to NAFTA鈥檚 dispute arbitration systems, changes to intellectual property provisions and new protections for US seasonal produce growers.
In his meeting with Trump, Trudeau is expected to remind the president that Canada is the United States鈥� biggest export customer, with largely balanced two-way goods and services trade, and is not the cause of US manufacturing jobs lost under NAFTA, Canadian officials said.
Mexico has that distinction, with far lower wages that have lured US auto plants and other manufacturers across its northern border, resulting in a $64 billion trade surplus with the US last year that Trump administration officials have vowed to slash.
Trudeau in April urged Trump not to withdraw from NAFTA due to the pain it would cause on both sides of the border.