抖阴短视频

SHANGHAI: Global carmakers converge on China for the Shanghai auto show this week, with the industry bracing for a sharp sales slowdown and potential price war as competition stiffens in the world鈥檚 biggest car market.

Manufacturers have reaped a windfall as the fast-expanding Chinese middle class hits the road, but clouds loom as Volkswagen, Toyota, GM, and other top nameplates pitch their latest models starting this Wednesday at China鈥檚 biggest auto showcase.
Passenger-vehicle sales have nearly quintupled over the past decade and logged another stellar performance in 2016, surging 14.9 percent to a record 24.38 million, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM).
But volume was skewed upward in 2016 by a government purchase incentive. As China鈥檚 decades-long economic boom loses lift, sales growth will essentially be flat this year and could even shrink in 2018 for the first time in memory, consultancy IHS Markit said last week.
In a boon for consumers, IHS Markit said there is already 鈥渁 major price war descending on the market,鈥� as manufacturers and dealers slash prices to move growing stock.
鈥淭he threat now for international automakers is that if local players begin cutting prices ... there will be a rampant price war across the market as automakers compete to attract new car buyers,鈥� it said.
Such troubles must be kept in perspective: China is still El Dorado for carmakers.
Last year鈥檚 sales set a 26th straight annual high-water mark, handily beating the record 17.55 million cars sold in the US, which China zoomed past eight years ago to become the planet鈥檚 top market. Sales were boosted by the government鈥檚 halving of a 10-percent purchase tax on small-engine cars in late 2015. That tax has been raised to 7.5 percent this year and will be restored to 10 percent in 2018, with an expected dampening effect on sales.
More broadly, analysts say China鈥檚 automotive landscape is rapidly maturing as consumer tastes evolve, and success will depend on manufacturers鈥� capabilities in meeting those tastes.
China now has a crowded field of mostly domestic carmakers, many of which will not survive, said Johan Karlberg, a Shanghai-based partner with global consultancy Roland Berger.
鈥淭here is just not room enough for that many players anymore. Many of the smaller ones will simply die a slow, suffocating death,鈥� Karlberg said.
Major carmakers remain bullish but are scrambling to introduce a slew of new models aimed at Chinese consumers during the Shanghai show, which IHS said has taken on 鈥渕ajor importance鈥� as the dynamics evolve.
Manufacturers are rushing, in particular, to capitalize on still fast-growing demand for sport utility vehicles (SUVs) and 鈥渘ew energy鈥� cars.
Chinese drivers have latched on to both domestic and foreign-made SUVs as leisure interests grow and rising incomes put a second family car in reach. SUV sales are expected to surpass sedans as early as this year.
Electric vehicle sales have been government-subsidized partly to help reduce China鈥檚 notorious air pollution, and the Chinese market is now the world鈥檚 biggest and growing quickly.
China market leader Volkswagen, along with giants GM, Ford and a host of electric-car upstarts, all have plans to ramp up their China offerings.
Ford will even try to sell its American-icon pickup trucks while expanding its electric offerings.
鈥淲e think it is a huge opportunity for us to continue to build the Ford brand here in China and continue to grow our business in China,鈥� Ford CEO Mark Fields told Bloomberg News.
Analysts say other future drivers lie in China鈥檚 seemingly never-ending stock of newly-minted middle-class consumers, particularly in populous and fast-growing lower-tier cities, plus the rapid growth in car-hailing and vehicle-sharing services.
鈥淲e still have a pretty good period of growth ahead in the Chinese market. It is THE strategic market for global carmakers,鈥� said Marc Mechai, an automotive analyst with Accenture in Paris.
鈥淏ut now, it remains to be seen with which vehicles, and how.鈥�